some real damage done to these refineries especially if that saltwater he is gets over, breaches the defenses if you like? what kind of impact could that have on refining capacity? >> well that is the worst-case scenario and i think that is the worst-case scenario for the phillips 66 refinery in bay wing, new jersey. that one isn't directly in the direct path of the storm but the storm surge numbers say that could potentially happen. that is the greatest risk out there. although if you look at probabilities it is probably not a high probability but it is a possibility. today's gasoline increases on the nymex reflect to a certain extent a worst-case scenario. melissa: you jumped ahead to my next question because i was going to ask you based on trading today what do you think is priced in already and where do we go from here? >> i think we priced in a few days or perhaps even a week or so of shutdowns at port reading, the hess facility, and the bay way refinery that phillips has and we're pricing in that the philadelphia or delaware river plants will continue to run after the storm passes them.